Damping the Risks of Reducing Recreational Potential in the Paradigm of Systemic Challenges of the Global Climate Agenda

The current climate trend is for the average global temperature to rise above acceptable levels. In 2024, according to Columbia University (CU), the indicator reached 1.56 °С relative to the pre-industrial level. The ascending temperature dynamics is characterized by the destabilization of biospheric processes, which is expressed in the intensification of forest fires, melting glaciers and an increase in mortality from extreme heat. In the article the transformation of the global climate agenda due to geopolitical instability is analyzed. The risks to the national economy are identified, in particular, discriminatory financial obligations in the context of restrictive pressure and methodological inconsistencies in assessing the absorption potential, which, according to calculations of Russian scientists, varies in the range of 3–8 billion tons of carbon dioxide. Key factors of environmental vulnerability are identified, including a critical shortage of forestry workers, an imperfect fire protection system, and a reduction in absorption potential, estimated at 300–320 million US dollars (USD). As a result of the proposed measures to minimize the identified risks, recommendations are developed aimed at reducing the destructive anthropogenic impact, increasing recreational potential, and improving the environmental safety of the country.

climate agenda, global average temperature, absorption potential, environmental safety, greenhouse gases, carbon footprint, decarbonization, restrictive policy, anthropogenic load, forest fires