Changes in the Characteristics of the Heating Period in Moscow Due to Global Climate Warming

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Abstract

Currently, one of the main problems of the world community has become the problem of climate change on Earth, global warming has been recorded. On the territory of the Russian Federation, the average surface air temperature rises at a rate of 0.43оC per decade, which is more than two and a half times the rate of global warming and is recorded mainly in the winter and spring seasons. Important applied parameters of the cold season are the climatic characteristics of the heating period. Its duration and average temperature are the main indicators in estimates of energy costs for heating buildings. Reducing the average duration and increasing the temperature of the heating period create conditions for reducing the consumption of thermal energy. The reduction of energy costs during the heating period refers to the possible positive consequences for the Russian Federation of the expected climate changes, which have a significant potential for effective sectoral and regional economic development. For the rational use of climate change, it is necessary to take them into account in building codes. In the presented work, based on 60 years of observations by the Meteorological Observatory of the Faculty of Geography of Moscow State University, the variability of the main characteristics of the heating period in Moscow is analyzed. It is shown that there is a tendency to decrease the degree-day of the heating period, although there are years when the main characteristics of the heating period advise the climatic norm of earlier observations.

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About the authors

E. V. Gorbarenko

Lomonosov Moscow State University; Scientific-Research Institute of Building Physics of RAACS

Author for correspondence.
Email: Elena.V.Korkina@gmail.com

Candidate of Sciences (Geography)

Russian Federation, 1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991; 21, Lokomotivniy Driveway, Moscow, 127238

V. G. Gagarin

Scientific Research Institute of Mechanics Lomonosov Moscow State University; Scientific-Research Institute of Building Physics of RAACS; National Research Moscow State University of Civil Engineering

Email: gagarinvg@yandex.ru

Doctor of Sciences (Engineering), Professor, Corresponding member of RAACS

Russian Federation, 1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991; 21, Lokomotivniy Driveway, Moscow, 127238; 26, Yaroslavskoe Highway, Moscow, 129337

E. V. Korkina

Scientific-Research Institute of Building Physics of RAACS; National Research Moscow State University of Civil Engineering

Email: elena.v.korkina@gmail.com

Candidate of Sciences (Engineering)

Russian Federation, 21, Lokomotivniy Driveway, Moscow, 127238; 26, Yaroslavskoe Highway, Moscow, 129337

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Supplementary files

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2. Fig. 1. Long-term changes in average air temperature values: 1 – year; 2 – January

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3. Fig. 2. Repeatability, %, of the characteristics of the heating period: a – duration; b – temperature; c – degree-days

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4. Fig. 3. Long-term changes in the average values of the main indicators of the heating period (HP): a – the beginning and duration of the first half of the HP; b – the end and duration of the second half of the HP; c – the total duration and average temperature of the OP; d – degree-days

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